Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 7.250617 7.984690 8.781164 9.712938 10.777386 11.960510 13.382020
2026-01-11 6.099851 7.043016 8.132270 9.494659 11.169147 13.181212 15.814378
2026-01-18 5.595973 6.680003 7.988893 9.708088 11.940709 14.790697 18.785597
2026-01-25 5.069916 6.203567 7.618800 9.548542 12.164706 15.669828 20.868641
2026-02-01 4.669810 5.833351 7.327299 9.430656 12.390989 16.531349 22.996270
2026-02-08 4.328977 5.503444 7.048117 9.284124 12.536613 17.264097 25.001518
2026-02-15 4.025865 5.196056 6.767465 9.098153 12.588983 17.842006 26.819802
2026-02-22 3.807353 4.985153 6.598541 9.048347 12.824032 18.704709 29.204919
2026-03-01 3.538494 4.685197 6.280583 8.748341 12.639422 18.870784 30.404937
2026-03-08 3.263157 4.359430 5.903798 8.328693 12.224000 18.606903 30.782805
2026-03-15 3.090473 4.170515 5.713619 8.178204 12.222746 19.028962 32.480803
2026-03-22 3.147452 4.316466 6.025026 8.830581 13.599355 21.989101 39.603691
2026-03-29 3.063116 4.252691 6.021759 8.989642 14.175237 23.627391 44.476246
2026-04-05 2.899065 4.060271 5.808726 8.787727 14.098207 24.034350 46.778641
2026-04-12 2.838197 4.021085 5.831689 8.980842 14.748372 25.931496 52.884861
2026-04-19 2.709400 3.869629 5.666128 8.836609 14.756229 26.534016 56.020089
2026-04-26 2.598273 3.740200 5.528434 8.729996 14.823300 27.264802 59.645348
2026-05-03 2.490066 3.610170 5.382392 8.597420 14.825819 27.854972 63.039262
2026-05-10 2.382449 3.476229 5.222803 8.429073 14.740952 28.240152 65.962640
2026-05-17 2.305007 3.387493 5.134115 8.383969 14.900268 29.197951 70.791058
2026-05-24 2.191324 3.235112 4.930459 8.112135 14.567407 28.967889 71.981259
2026-05-31 2.064729 3.057211 4.676143 7.731439 13.978213 28.066079 70.888908
2026-06-07 1.987693 2.958434 4.553894 7.594784 13.897684 28.391238 73.862095